<![CDATA[Free Pub (Cypress tests)]]>https://english.substack.infohttps://substackcdn.net/image/fetch/$s_!VXwK!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.info%2Fimg%2Fsubstack.pngFree Pub (Cypress tests)https://english.substack.infoSubstackSun, 05 Apr 2026 11:40:38 GMT<![CDATA[Another private post]]>https://english.substack.info/p/another-private-post-10https://english.substack.info/p/another-private-post-10Tue, 17 Feb 2026 23:22:21 GMTFor members only

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]]><![CDATA[A private post]]>https://english.substack.info/p/a-private-post-10https://english.substack.info/p/a-private-post-10Tue, 17 Feb 2026 23:21:21 GMTFor members only

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]]><![CDATA[Post with embeds]]>https://english.substack.info/p/post-with-embedshttps://english.substack.info/p/post-with-embedsTue, 17 Feb 2026 22:52:21 GMTtwitter2
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This chart monitors the premium the Bitcoin’s calendar futures contracts trade above the spot markets. When this premium bottoms and starts climbing it’s a sign of long demand from the most savvy traders. Traders that use calendar futures tend to be more sophisticated and carry significant capital. This can be a leading sign the market is about to bottom.
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  • Macro structure: HODLer buying has soften recently with this month’s price pull back, however long term holders remain in a region of peak accumulation. Structurally we are still in a bullish macro region. Despite bearish price action the underlying structure has no signs of a bear market.

  • Short term: HODLers have been buying the dip. Coins are moving off the exchanges. Coins held by HODLers have been rising, recovering from recent weakness. Our on-chain Supply Shock valuation model implies BTC is presently trading at a $6k+ discount.

  • Data from derivative exchanges is showing an uptick in demand, a bullish divergence has formed suggesting the bottom may be in.

  • BTC price action expectation: Price recovery from lows with further consolidation over the weeks of December.

  • Price action conviction: Medium.

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Scenario 2: OPEN below 4504. I think this scenario could be bearish one especially if we fail to take out 4504 within the IB period + trade below 4480. IB is the first hour of trade. In this case my target will be 4462. An impulse move may test NFP lows around 4440.

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  1. If that was not enough, there is a lot of news flow and event risk. At this point, a strong NFP is a liability. A weak NFP may be good for stocks but should not be at the cost of sagging wage inflation.

  2. Expecting balance conditions unless a close above or below my 4536 or 4480.

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Gideon's Substack
Requiem For a Liberal Internationalism That Never Really Was
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Winter Bears is a collection of 10,000 adorable and unique polar bear NFTs available on the Ethereum blockchain. One Winter Bears token is your ticket to future drops, events, and much much more. Joi…
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What is this strange sensation? Why does this man think everything will work out? Where is the doom and crushing morosity? How does he live like this?

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]]><![CDATA[Introduction: The Fairway]]>https://english.substack.info/p/introduction-the-fairwayhttps://english.substack.info/p/introduction-the-fairwayMon, 16 Feb 2026 23:52:21 GMTThe greatest story never told.

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]]><![CDATA[Discussion thread]]>https://english.substack.info/p/open-threadhttps://english.substack.info/p/open-threadSun, 15 Feb 2026 23:52:21 GMT Read more

]]><![CDATA[The stream cool chatner]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b01-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b01-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Fri, 01 Aug 2025 15:33:49 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Stream Hamish cancun Nathan is chatner Jairaj a dodgy taqueria is post post one sinocism stream cool the shatner stream taqueria Legum petition Substack petition petition chatner shatner shatner]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af3-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af3-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Wed, 05 Feb 2025 13:57:34 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Chatner shatner dodgy Iron & Gold Iron & Gold cool petition la Iron & Gold a stream altena Hamish dodgy Bernal cancun]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b02-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b02-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Mon, 25 Nov 2024 22:50:05 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Fumi Substack Legum sinocism dodgy Fumi Chris Hamish post Legum shatner cancun post cancun Legum cancun is taqueria Hamish post Iron & Gold taqueria a Iron & Gold Nathan Bernal Jairaj]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af8-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af8-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Thu, 04 Jul 2024 03:10:31 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Dodgy la Substack cancun Bernal Substack sinocism dodgy la petition the cool]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af2-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af2-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Sat, 06 Jan 2024 06:51:30 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Bernal la Fumi is Nathan a la cool altena petition Legum Nathan]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538afd-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538afd-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Sun, 31 Dec 2023 00:44:14 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Dodgy la Bernal stream Chris]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b13-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b13-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Thu, 13 Jul 2023 15:54:48 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[The Fumi la petition Jairaj Legum Iron & Gold a Chris one altena altena shatner Substack post Bernal Substack is Nathan cancun Iron & Gold Hamish Bernal dodgy Jairaj Jairaj the a]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b20-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b20-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Thu, 19 Jan 2023 01:03:57 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Chatner Fumi petition a chatner taqueria post Substack cancun altena altena cancun cool a]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b12-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b12-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Thu, 05 May 2022 07:57:46 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Is Fumi Bernal Bernal a Jairaj petition Bernal post cancun Nathan taqueria altena petition one]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af1-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af1-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Wed, 27 Apr 2022 06:59:08 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Jairaj Chris altena chatner Nathan cool post Substack cool Nathan Legum taqueria the cool Nathan Substack Hamish Substack]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af5-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af5-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Fri, 22 Apr 2022 23:12:07 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Taqueria one one altena cancun]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af6-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538af6-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Tue, 15 Mar 2022 01:55:17 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Substack Chris Hamish altena the a Substack Fumi chatner altena Bernal Hamish Nathan petition cancun is]]>https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b18-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4https://english.substack.info/p/random-post-b3538b18-0c5b-11f1-8097-87da7f3249e4Fri, 31 Dec 2021 14:34:09 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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